๐๐ฑ Clean Growth, Forer Statements & Quality
07 August 2022
Welcome back to the Week That Was series highlighting things from the interwebs which are interesting, noteworthy and/or probably worth your time.
Articles๐, Tweet(s)๐ฑ, Videos๐ฅ, Charts ๐ all fair game with or without attendant commentary.
๐จ Falling Apart
“The fine art of falling apart”, Eric Pause, Digital, 2022
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๐ชโ๐ฝ Quality
Zeno Rocha highlights the two types of quality recognised by the Japanese:
atarimae hinshitsu (ๅฝใใๅๅ่ณช)
miryokuteki hinshitsu (้ญ ๅ็ๅ่ณช)
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Atarimae Hinshitsu (ๅฝใใๅๅ่ณช)
Atarimae hinshitsu is the idea that things should work the way that they are supposed to.
It’s a purely functional requirement and is satisfied when the product completes the job that it was designed to create. For example, an IKEA chair meets the atarimae hinshitsu quality expectation because it’s made to sustain and fit a person of average height and weight. Being reliable and robust is a significant component of quality, and there is elegance in things working according to their function.
Understanding the difference between them is the key to building products that users love.
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Miryokuteki Hinshitsu (้ญ ๅ็ๅ่ณช)
Miryokuteki hinshitsu, on the other hand, is the idea that things should have an aesthetic quality.
It’s basically the kind of quality that fascinates you. This could include things like visual appearance, sound, or anything that gives personality to a product. For example, a Herman Miller chair could be considered miryokuteki hinshitsu because it goes beyond its functional requirements. There’s a distinct touch, smell, texture, and design that makes it unique; it’s a โspecial refuge from the strains of modern living," as they say. These aspects bring added value to the product and make it desirable.
He goes onto apply this to software development and design. Very interesting insights to be had.
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โ๏ธ๐๏ธ Taiwan Strait
How to Prepare for the Next Taiwan Strait Crisis | Dmitri Alperovitch, Elbridge Colby, & Jamil N. Jaffer
Demetri Kofinas publishes the contents of a call that he hosted on Twitter Spaces this past Tuesday evening only hours after Nancy Pelosi, the US Speaker of the House of Representatives arrived in Taiwan.
The subject of the call concerns both the short and long-term consequences of Pelosiโs trip and whether or not the US is ready to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese naval blockade or invasion of the island by the Peopleโs Liberation Army. Speakers Dmitri Alperovitch, Elbridge Colby, and Jamil N. Jaffer discuss how the US can prepare for this eventuality, the urgency of the task at hand, and the possibility and consequences of the US losing a war with China over Taiwan in the next few years.
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๐๐ Latinos & Europeans
There will soon be more Latinos than Europeans.
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๐๐ฒ Pre-Covid Trends
American consumers are going out to eat. https://t.co/9GtZcCnS47 pic.twitter.com/Wcd9zERuLA
— Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) July 30, 2022
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๐Ben Evans also showed how there is a reversion to previous trend-lines more broadly speaking, in this case looking at e-commerce.
Back in 2020, as we were all locked down and forced to do everything online, we got very excited about ecommerce penetration. All sorts of charts went viral showing that weโd jumped forward anything from three to five years in a couple of months. This was a big part of the โCovid Rotationโ, and now weโre on the other side of that rotation - people went back to the office, and back to stores, and back on planes. And for retail and ecommerce, it looks like a lot of that growth was temporary, and weโre reverting to the trend line.
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๐จ 1950
The Summer of 1950, Alan Fearnley, Oil on canvas, 1958
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๐๐ฑ Clean Growth
Nan Ransohoff, Head of Climate at Stripe and leader of Frontier, an advance market commitment for carbon removal - offers a reminder that economic growth and emissions aren’t necessarily correlated:
A friendly reminder that economic growth and emissions are not intrinsically linked. The work of decarbonization is to decouple the two – to enable economic growth without harmful climate impact
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๐ค๐น Expertise
Veritasium is back honing in on the 4 things it takes to be a true expert.
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๐ง ๐ G Factor
Interesting data-point and not entirely sure what to make of it right now. This is taken from General Social Survey: mean IQ by degree by decade. It relates to the US, so unclear how much it generalises but if true, the average college graduate today is close to the same intelligence as the average high school graduate in 1960.
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The average IQ of someone getting a masters degree now is only 108 (8 points above “average”)
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๐ฐ๐ Necessary. Not Sufficient
PhD Candidate and political economy researcher Ruben Mathisen pulled an interesting graphic together showing how “hard work” doesn’t seems to be a strong determining factor i.r.o. wealth.
Necessary but not sufficient I believe the line goes.
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๐ณ๏ธ๐ A Century Of Unions
Per Robert Cottrell
As this chart shows, the Soviet Union (1922-1991) has been overtaken in both size and longevity by the European Union, founded in 1952 as the European Coal And Steel Community. Before the start of its fragmentation in 1989 the Soviet Union comprised 15 republics and 286 million people. In 2021 the post-Brexit European Union comprised 27 member states and 448 million people.
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๐ช๐ฝ Traditional Family
Per Alyssa Vance quoting Matt Bell’s very interesting article, who himself is writing about a 2015 paper called Patriarchy, Power, and Pay: The Transformation of American Families, 1800โ2015:
The “traditional family” was never very traditional
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๐๏ธ From Hayek to Prayer
I always enjoy it when interviewers sit down with other interviewers, particularly when the one now in the hotseat is as prolific and talented as Russ Roberts.
In this discussion hosted by Tim Ferris he sits down with Russ to discuss Lessons from F.A. Hayek and Nassim Taleb, Having Children, Decision-Making Insights from Charles Darwin, The Dangers of Scientism, Wild Problems in Life and the Decisions That Define Us, Learnings from the Talmud, The Role of Prayer, The Journey to Transcendence and more.
Starts at 05:00
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๐จ Study
Study, Sief Hamza, Digital, 2022
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๐ฌ Forer Statements
Per The Browser:
Explaining the Forer Effect, a technique used by astrologers, psychics and interrogators to win a person’s trust by making assertions about the person’s character which appear to be deeply insightful but which could, in fact, apply to almost anyone. For example: “You have a great need for other people to like and admire you”; “Security is one of your major goals in life”
๐Forer Statements As Updates And Affirmations
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The Forer effect also known as the Barnum effect refers to the tendency for people to accept generic personal feedback consisting of relatively trivial statements with a high base rate, as being highly accurate (Tobacyk & Milford, 1988).
Here’s a list… the kind which tends to end up buttressing widespread acceptance of some paranormal beliefs and practices, such as astrology, fortune telling, aura reading, and some types of personality tests:
You have a great need for other people to like and admire you.
You have a tendency to be critical of yourself.
You have a great deal of unused capacity which you have not turned to your advantage.
While you have some personality weaknesses, you are generally able to compensate for them.
Your sexual adjustment has presented problems for you.
Disciplined and self-controlled outside, you tend to be worrisome and insecure inside.
At times you have serious doubts as to whether you have made the right decision or done the right thing.
You prefer a certain amount of change and variety and become dissatisfied when hemmed in by restrictions and limitations.
You pride yourself as an independent thinker and do not accept others’ statements without satisfactory proof.
You have found it unwise to be too frank in revealing yourself to others.
At times you are extroverted, affable, sociable, while at other times you are introverted, wary, reserved.
Some of your aspirations tend to be pretty unrealistic.
Security is one of your major goals in life.
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๐บ๐ Structures
Geography via clay in Tupperware
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Reminded me of these two classics, one of which we’ve featured here before
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๐นโ๏ธ Simulating ICE
Toronto based software developer and artist Ange Yaghi went down a rabbit hole while trying to create a virtual internal combustion engine in it’s entirety - the results of which are demonstrated in this video:
“Quite possibly the dumbest project I’ve ever undertaken, this was an odyssey but well worth it in the end. It’s hard to fully explain the depth of the rabbit hole that I was led down and I ended up having to study things like fluid dynamics, physics and chemistry. As the title suggests, this is a physically realistic (or at least, somewhat realistic) internal combustion engine simulation. It also generates audio which I feel is some of the best procedurally generated audio for a V8 engine I’ve ever heard.”
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๐ฌ Deep Cuts
โNo act of knowledge acquisition is entirely without risk.โ โ Alastair Reynolds, House of Suns
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๐ฝ๏ธ๐ One More Thing
For the sci-fi movie geeks. This is where we are on the timeline as it stands
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fa17eab @ 2023-09-18